What are the implications of 5G for human exposure? |
There's a lot of confusion about what 5G does and doesn't mean in terms
of human exposure, ranging from the entirely ludicrous (conference papers
claiming that 5G will "stimulate skin pain sensors") to the simply
bewildered (5G is a new "thing", so that represents a qualitative change
in human exposure to RF, right?).
Unlike GSM (2G) or 3G or 4G, 5G isn't a single new radio technology. It's
a whole raft of technologies, many similar to those currently in use, some
under development and some still at the "thinking about it" stage. The key
really is that 5G is intended to be an envelope which allows a lot of
different devices and applications to communicate across a range of
technologies seamlessly. Kind of the ultimate plug'n'play. The different
discrete technologies come into play when we consider each level of
communication - from a device or user back to the main backbone of the
internet and then back out again. Data now exist already for many of them,
and we can make some pretty good assumptions based on the laws of physics
and known technologies which allow us to put bounds on the question for
each layer. So let's do that. First, let's look at the frequencies used by 5G. There are three bands, low, mid and high.
The thing about people is that we move about. We put devices in our
pockets, our bags and on top of the fridge, and put our hands - with the
smart watch on the wrist - under the table. Whatever is used for the
first communications hop from these devices has to have reasonable
penetration of clothing, bags etc and not be too fussy about
line-of-sight. That rules out millimetre waves, and that's important. A
fair degree of the hype about 5G has been around the idea that it'll all
be mm waves, and that this will lead to significant skin exposure of
people to those mm waves. That's wrong. It's possible that in some sci fi
future we'll have distributed synthesised aperture antennas tracking us
from all directions using clever beamshaping and steering to allow mm
waves to be used for devices that people carry or wear, but that's not
going to get past the real world issue of pockets, handbags and doors, and
the time to start worrying about that is if it ever actually happens.
The first hop from devices used or worn by people is most often something
very like 3 or 4G or WiFi, the mid-band of 5G at frequencies much like 3G
or WiFi (a few GHz) using MIMO (multiple in, multiple out) technologies
and carrier/band agglomeration and a couple of other fancy technofixes to
get the speeds up. Why's it like 3G, 4G or WiFi? Because those
frequencies don't require line-of-sight and they're really quite robust
over short and intermediate distances even when radio propagation
conditions are confounded by the strange things people do with their
devices. But those distances have to be short to get guaranteed high data
rates, so in urban areas we're likely to see a proliferation of very small
cells in public spaces and the home to provide good coverage and high
throughput. In principle that's not so different from the femtocells and
picocells we see with 3G and 4G, though they'll be smarter and faster. But
remember these small cells are using frequencies like 3G, not mm wave. And
they'll be rather low power.
5G also has a flavour at 600-700 MHz, and this has really quite good range
and coverage. In UK at least it will use spectrum freed from the shift
from analogue to digital TV, so it's going to look rather like the old TV
signal in terms of frequency, but at lower power. That frequency range is
going to be most useful for larger cells on higher towers in rural areas
with fewer users. It may also provide some not-especially-fast data
services in those rural areas.
One of the drivers for 5G is the (theoretical) rapacious data
requirements of IoT. There's no huge need for very fast data in a lot of
cases (how much information do you really need from a smart light
fitting?) though there will be some fast data requirements, but there's
going to be an awful lot of connections between things. This is one place
where it really does need to be plug-and-play. You're not going to want to
have to set up a dedicated line-of-sight data link to your fridge, or
between all the light switches and all the lights in your kitchen.
Line-of-sight links won't cut it here, partly because a lot of the IoT
things won't have line-of sight to each other or to a hub, but also
because this stuff will ship with low cost embedded communications rather
than ugly external antennas. That means proven, robust technologies such
as WiFi, Bluetooth or ZigBee using either direct-to-a-hub or mesh
networking. 5G will not mean mm
wave connectivity to domestic appliances. IoT doesn't need huge data
rates, and mm waves are far to easily blocked to be practical in that
application.
For most domestic situations, this is going to be your own internet
connection. One day we'll all be on optical fibre, right? For
situations where fibre is never going to be a realistic option, such as
truly isolated homes or some street furniture installations, line-of-sight
data links are an option - and these will use mm wave (or at least, >
20 GHz which is almost the same thing). That's mostly no different from
the technology used to link many 3G and 4G cells into the backbone, or for
dedicated line-of-sight data links of a type that have been used for
decades. One difference may be that rather than traditional point-to-point
it may use point-to-multipoint, with each small cell talking back to a
single larger cell, with the larger cell using MIMO and synthesised
aperture technology rather than wide-area broadcast (which is a bit
pointless with mm waves).
This will be just like the backhaul from a 3G/4G base station, using
either > 20 GHz/mm wave line-of-sight data links or a fibre connection.
Millimetre wave is certainly a component of 5G, but it's mostly going to
be for backhaul applications, much as it is for 3G and 4G (although
probably more of it, at lower powers) and for data links to stationary
devices. In terms of the final hop to phones and waerable tech,
well, there's a lot of talk about mm wave small cells and even some trial
installations, but - as discussed in "Devices used and/or worn by people"
above - it's not a core requirement of 5G, and the practical difficulties
currently look pretty severe. Certainly there will be some quite
specialised applications, such as communications with vehicles, where
point-to-multipoint cell antennas mounted high above roads could track and
communicate with high-gain directional antennas on moving vehicles, and
possible some indoors point-to-fixed-multipoint low power datalinks to
specific things like desktop computers or portables in fixed locations,
but it's going to be hard to beat gigabit ethernet for that application,
at least for now, if you want a solid data rate. It remains difficult to
see it as a technology that could connect hand-held or wearable
devices.
The big change that will come with 5G will be the proliferation of
low-power sources in urban areas. With 2G we saw comparatively few high
power base stations; 3 and 4G meant more - but much lower power - small
cells. 5G will continue that trend, not only with phone technologies, but
also data nodes and IoT hubs in the home. This is most likely going to be,
in terms of human exposure, much like 3G and WiFi albeit at much lower
levels and in many more places.
Does that mean higher exposure? No. This
is a common misconception. It's likely to be lower in reality. Why? well,
consider that a device at the edge of cell needs a certain signal strength
to connect. That minimum signal strength is the same whether the device is
on the edge of a large cell or a small cell. Since small cells are perhaps
ten metres across and large cells can be kms, and the power requirements
vary as the square of distance to the cell boundary, the power
in used a large cell will be thousands of times higher and so exposure
levels inside the large cell will be (in general) larger than in the small
cell. Consider a landscape of a thousand molehills vs
a single large mountain. Which has the highest average altitude?